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	<title>Chad Moriyama &#187; Octavio Dotel</title>
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		<title>Dodgers Trade Analysis: Leon Landry &amp; Logan Bawcom For Brandon League</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/07/dodgers-trade-analysis-leon-landry-logan-bawcom-for-brandon-league/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/07/dodgers-trade-analysis-leon-landry-logan-bawcom-for-brandon-league/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Jul 2012 13:34:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transactions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brandon League]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jamey Wright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javy Guerra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Lindblom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Leon Landry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Logan Bawcom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ned Colletti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Octavio Dotel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Elbert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seattle Mariners]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=8508</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a surprising move late yesterday, the Dodgers traded prospects Leon Landry and Logan Bawcom to the Mariners for Brandon League. League, 29, is owed approximately $1.8MM for the rest of the season before becoming a free agent this winter. He&#8217;s pitched to a 3.63 ERA with 5.4 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 44 2/3 ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/BrandonLeague-575x389.jpg" alt="" title="BrandonLeague" width="575" height="389" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-8509" /></p>
<p>In a surprising move late yesterday, the <strong>Dodgers</strong> <a href="http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2012/07/dodgers-acquire-brandon-league.html" target="_blank">traded</a> prospects <strong>Leon Landry</strong> and <strong>Logan Bawcom</strong> to the <strong>Mariners</strong> for <strong>Brandon League</strong>.</p>
<blockquote><p>League, 29, is owed approximately $1.8MM for the rest of the season before becoming a free agent this winter. He&#8217;s pitched to a 3.63 ERA with 5.4 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 44 2/3 innings this year, plus his usual sky-high ground ball rate is down to just 46.9%. The Dodgers have lost Matt Guerrier and Todd Coffey to injury this season, so League will add some late-inning depth.</p>
<p>Landry, 22, is hitting .328/.358/.559 with eight homers and 15 triples in 376 plate appearances for Los Angeles&#8217; High Class-A affiliate this season while spending most of his time in center field. Bawcom, a 23-year-old right-hander, owns a 2.03 ERA with 11.1 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 48 2/3 relief innings split between Single-A and Double-A this year. Neither player ranked among the team&#8217;s top 30 prospects in Baseball America&#8217;s Prospect Handbook before the season.</p></blockquote>
<p>Leon Landry wasn&#8217;t in my <strong>Prospect Rankings</strong> for 2012, but he was headed for a top 20 spot in 2013 prior to this deal happening. The leap comes as a result of his .328/.358/.559/.917 line at high-A and his defensive ability. His upside is probably as a fringy regular due to his poor plate discipline and lack of offensive tools, and I think he fits more as a reserve outfielder type in the majors.</p>
<p>Logan Bawcom wasn&#8217;t in my Prospect Rankings for 2012 either, but he too was headed there in 2013. He posted a 0.64 ERA with a 1.06 FIP in 14 innings at high-A, then followed that by posting a 2.60 ERA and 2.88 FIP in 34.2 innings at AA. He has command issues from time to time but has strikeout stuff that should play at advanced levels. Bawcom has a fastball that can sit in the mid-90s and a good sharp slider. He has the upside of a 7th inning guy and a floor that likely still has him as a bullpen contributor, both of which made him one of the arms I was talking about when I referred to relief arms as a system strength.</p>
<p>Brandon League comes to the Dodgers with a 3.63 ERA/3.43 FIP/4.40 xFIP/4.43 SIERA in 2012. After a career year in 2011, he has basically regressed to his career norms (3.69/3.88/3.64/3.34). He&#8217;s not without red flags though, as his 14.0 K% is his lowest since 2007 and his BB% is his highest since 2008. Essentially, he&#8217;s an above average bullpen guy who was once used as a closer.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>On its face, one has to wonder what the point of this trade was. After all, how much of an upgrade is he over <strong>Scott Elbert</strong>, <strong>Javy Guerra</strong>, <strong>Josh Lindblom</strong>, and company? Hell, <strong>Jamey Wright</strong> is having an equally quality year at the moment and it already pains me when he enters the game.</p>
<p>What I have to assume is that he was acquired because the Dodgers are on the verge of trading a reliever like Lindblom or Guerra in a deal for a pitcher/first baseman/outfielder. If not, while nothing will quite top the <strong>Octavio Dotel</strong> deal, this will likely go down as another complete waste of assets. Hell, even if a trade involving a reliever does occur, it&#8217;s still a mediocre deal to me. Quality starters rarely make much of a marginal value impact after the deadline, much less average relievers.</p>
<p>For me to even get to that point of acknowledging it as mediocre though, a reliever would have to be traded out of the bullpen for help elsewhere. Here&#8217;s hoping it&#8217;s for something worthwhile.</p>
<p>Guess you can&#8217;t stop <strong>Ned Colletti</strong>, you can only hope to contain him.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/BrandonLeagueFace.jpg" alt="" title="BrandonLeagueFace" width="296" height="420" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8510" /></p>
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