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	<title>Chad Moriyama &#187; Mike Trout</title>
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	<description>Dodgers, Sabermetrics, Scouting</description>
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		<title>Arsenal Analysis: Dodgers Worst Pitches Of 2012 &#8211; Relievers</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2013/02/arsenal-analysis-dodgers-worst-pitches-of-2012-relievers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2013/02/arsenal-analysis-dodgers-worst-pitches-of-2012-relievers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2013 17:03:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arsenal Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brandon League]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jamey Wright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javy Guerra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kenley Jansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Guerrier]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike MacDougal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Trout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Randy Choate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ronald Belisario]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Elbert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shawn Tolleson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Todd Coffey]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=13607</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As fans of the Dodgers, we&#8217;re always analyzing which pitchers have the best and worst pitches, but we normally base that on nothing but our own feelings at the moment, so I decided to take a more objective look at things. For a pitch to qualify for these rankings, I used a 200-pitch minimum for ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/MikeMacDougalContract-575x323.jpg" alt="MikeMacDougalContract" width="575" height="323" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-3354" /></p>
<p>As fans of the <strong>Dodgers</strong>, we&#8217;re always analyzing which pitchers have the best and worst pitches, but we normally base that on nothing but our own feelings at the moment, so I decided to take a more objective look at things.</p>
<p>For a pitch to qualify for these rankings, I used a 200-pitch minimum for starters and a 50-pitch minimum for relievers. The metric used to measure pitch effectiveness is <strong>True Average</strong> (<strong>TAv</strong>), which is basically like <strong>wOBA</strong>. League average performance is set at .260, and the metric doesn&#8217;t include baserunning.</p>
<p>Additionally, to prevent the post from being solely numbers-based, and one that would have been mind-numbingly boring, I decided to provide visual evidence as well.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><u><strong>Worst Overall Pitches</strong></u></p>
<p><strong>Shawn Tolleson &#8211; Sinker &#8211; .395 TAv</strong></p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/ShawnTollesonSinker.gif" alt="ShawnTollesonSinker" width="400" height="290" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13663" /></p>
<p><strong>Mike MacDougal &#8211; Sinker &#8211; .342 TAv</strong></p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/MikeMacDougalSinker.gif" alt="MikeMacDougalSinker" width="425" height="270" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13662" /></p>
<p><strong>Matt Guerrier &#8211; Fastball &#8211; .320 TAv</strong></p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/MattGuerrierFastball.gif" alt="MattGuerrierFastball" width="400" height="280" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13661" /></p>
<p>Relief pitchers have smaller sample sizes, so they are prone to fluctuations, but they have the advantage of appearing in short bursts and limiting their arsenal to only their best pitches.</p>
<p>So &#8230; uh &#8230; this is TERRIBLE.</p>
<p>.395 is like 40 points higher than <strong>Mike Trout</strong> in 2012 for fucks sake.</p>
<p>H-h-how?</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><u><strong>Worst Individual Pitches</strong></u></p>
<p><strong>Fastball</strong></p>
<p><strong>Matt Guerrier &#8211; .320 TAv</strong></p>
<p><strong>*Visual Is Above*</strong></p>
<p>Shawn Tolleson &#8211; .273<br />
Javy Guerra &#8211; .256<br />
Scott Elbert &#8211; .237<br />
Ronald Belisario &#8211; .082</p>
<p>Ugh.</p>
<p><strong>Sinker</strong></p>
<p><strong>Shawn Tolleson &#8211; .395 TAv</strong></p>
<p><strong>*Visual Is Above*</strong></p>
<p>Mike MacDougal &#8211; .342<br />
Brandon League &#8211; .280<br />
Todd Coffey &#8211; .263<br />
Randy Choate &#8211; .262<br />
Jamey Wright &#8211; .258<br />
Ronald Belisario &#8211; .225</p>
<p>No &#8230; just no.</p>
<p><strong>Cutter</strong></p>
<p><strong>Jamey Wright &#8211; .258 TAv</strong></p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/JameyWrightCutter.gif" alt="JameyWrightCutter" width="400" height="300" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13658" /></p>
<p>Scott Elbert &#8211; .242<br />
Javy Guerra &#8211; .208<br />
Kenley Jansen &#8211; .187<br />
Matt Guerrier &#8211; .139</p>
<p><strong>Curve</strong></p>
<p><strong>Javy Guerra &#8211; .271 TAv</strong></p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/JavyGuerraCurve.gif" alt="JavyGuerraCurve" width="400" height="310" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13659" /></p>
<p>Jamey Wright &#8211; .171</p>
<p>Finishing last out of two isn&#8217;t bad, but giving up a .271 on a curve as a reliever is.</p>
<p><strong>Slider</strong></p>
<p><strong>Kenley Jansen &#8211; .236 TAv</strong></p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/KenleyJansenSlider.gif" alt="KenleyJansenSlider" width="425" height="265" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13660" /></p>
<p>Jamey Wright &#8211; .215<br />
Todd Coffey &#8211; .214<br />
Shawn Tolleson &#8211; .206<br />
Brandon League &#8211; .147<br />
Ronald Belisario &#8211; .121<br />
Randy Choate &#8211; .058</p>
<p>I actually think he could benefit from throwing this more often because it&#8217;s a quality pitch. Not hanging it is a different story, but how is he supposed to learn command of it if he never uses it?</p>
<p><strong>Change</strong></p>
<p>None Qualified</p>
<p><strong>Splitter</strong></p>
<p><strong>Brandon League &#8211; .096 TAv</strong></p>
<p>He&#8217;s the only reliever that qualified for this pitch, so I guess he&#8217;s technically the best and the worst, but considering his split was the second-most effective pitch by a reliever for the team in 2012, I&#8217;m pretty sure he gets a pass.</p>
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