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	<title>Chad Moriyama &#187; Matt Treanor</title>
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	<description>Dodgers, Sabermetrics, Scouting</description>
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		<title>2012 Los Angeles Dodgers Season Review: Overall</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/12/2012-los-angeles-dodgers-season-review-overall/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/12/2012-los-angeles-dodgers-season-review-overall/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Dec 2012 16:47:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 Season Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A.J. Ellis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adrian Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Castellanos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andre Ethier]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chad Billingsley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Capuano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clayton Kershaw]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dee Gordon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hanley Ramirez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Loney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Hairston Jr.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Ely]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Pierre]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Uribe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kenley Jansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Cruz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ellis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Guerrier]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Kemp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike MacDougal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Season Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shane Victorino]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ted Lilly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Gwynn Jr.]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=12308</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yes, this is the final installment of the 2012 Season Review for the Dodgers, and if you want to catch up on the others, then you can check out this tag here. Otherwise, in the tables listed below, I have calculated the WAR (along with its components), value, and surplus value of every player on ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/ClaytonKershawPitch-575x383.jpg" alt="" title="ClaytonKershawPitch" width="575" height="383" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-12262" /></p>
<p>Yes, this is the final installment of the <strong>2012 Season Review</strong> for the <strong>Dodgers</strong>, and if you want to catch up on the others, then <a href="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/tag/season-review/" target="_blank">you can check out this tag here</a>.</p>
<p>Otherwise, in the tables listed below, I have calculated the WAR (along with its components), value, and surplus value of every player on the Dodgers payroll in 2012.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not meant to be taken literally (&#8220;<em>A.J. Ellis is a better player than Matt Kemp!</em>&#8220;), but I always learn stuff about the team that I hadn&#8217;t previously realized when I do it.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/Dodgers2012Offense1-575x479.png" alt="" title="Dodgers2012Offense1" width="575" height="479" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-13034" /><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/Dodgers2012Offense2-575x219.png" alt="" title="Dodgers2012Offense2" width="575" height="219" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-13035" /></p>
<p>The three best players on the Dodgers, according to WAR, were <strong>A.J. Ellis</strong>, <strong>Matt Kemp</strong>, and <strong>Andre Ethier</strong>, in order. The most valuable players, according to surplus value, were A.J. Ellis, <strong>Luis Cruz</strong>, and <strong>Mark Ellis</strong>.</p>
<p>Best hitters? Kemp, Ethier, and A.J. Ellis. Best baserunners? <strong>Dee Gordon</strong>, <strong>Shane Victorino</strong>, and <strong>Hanley Ramirez</strong>. Best fielders? Mark Ellis, <strong>Jerry Hairston Jr.</strong>, and Cruz.</p>
<p>The three worst players on the Dodgers, according to WAR, were Gordon, <strong>Juan Rivera</strong>, and <strong>Alex Castellanos</strong>. The least valuable players, according to surplus value (excluding dead money), were <strong>Juan Uribe</strong>, <strong>James Loney</strong>, and Rivera.</p>
<p>Worst hitters? Gordon, <strong>Tony Gwynn Jr.</strong>, and Uribe. Worst baserunners? A.J. Ellis, <strong>Adrian Gonzalez</strong>, and <strong>Matt Treanor</strong>. Worst fielders? Gordon, Kemp, Ramirez.</p>
<p>In related news, did you realize the Dodgers are STILL paying <strong>Juan Pierre</strong>? Good grief.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/Dodgers2012Pitching1.png" alt="" title="Dodgers2012Pitching1" width="498" height="461" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13036" /><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/Dodgers2012Pitching2.png" alt="" title="Dodgers2012Pitching2" width="498" height="178" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13037" /></p>
<p>The three best pitchers on the Dodgers, according to WAR, were <strong>Clayton Kershaw</strong>, <strong>Chad Billingsley</strong>, and <strong>Chris Capuano</strong>, in order. The most valuable pitchers, according to surplus value, were Kershaw, <strong>Kenley Jansen</strong>, and Capuano.</p>
<p>The three worst pitchers on the Dodgers, according to WAR, were <strong>John Ely</strong>, <strong>Matt Guerrier</strong>, and <strong>Mike MacDougal</strong>. The least valuable players, according to surplus value (excluding dead money), were <strong>Ted Lilly</strong>, Guerrier, and Ely.</p>
<p>In related news, you can see why the Dodgers want to upgrade their rotation, as the team defense was decidedly average, but the staff RA WAR outperformed their FIP WAR by six wins.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>If there are any questions, let me know below.</p>
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		<slash:comments>33</slash:comments>
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		<title>2012 Los Angeles Dodgers Season Review: Catcher</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/11/2012-los-angeles-dodgers-season-review-catcher/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/11/2012-los-angeles-dodgers-season-review-catcher/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2012 19:35:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Greg Zakwin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 Season Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A.J. Ellis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Santana]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Torre]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Misty May]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rod Barajas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russell Martin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Season Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[T.J. Simers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Federowicz]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=11865</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A.J. Ellis After toiling in the minors for parts of nine seasons with just a couple cups of coffee to show for it, all the while watching the Dodgers treat the catcher position like it was wholly unimportant (trading Carlos Santana, allowing Joe Torre to run Russell Martin into the ground, and Rod Barajas not ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/AJEllisHero-575x344.jpg" alt="" title="AJEllisHero" width="575" height="344" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-11903" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5677&amp;position=C" target="_blank"><strong>A.J. Ellis</strong></a></p>
<p>After toiling in the minors for parts of nine seasons with just a couple cups of coffee to show for it, all the while watching the <strong>Dodgers</strong> treat the catcher position like it was wholly unimportant (trading <strong>Carlos Santana</strong>, allowing <strong>Joe Torre</strong> to run <strong>Russell Martin</strong> into the ground, and <strong>Rod Barajas</strong> not only being on the team but starting games as the primary backstop), <strong>A.J. Ellis</strong> finally got his shot in 2012 to be the man behind the dish.</p>
<p>Given the opportunity, he certainly did not disappoint, posting a 4.1 fWAR and putting forth the most productive season of any Dodger catcher since <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4616&amp;position=C" target="_blank">Martin&#8217;s 5.2 fWAR campaign back in 2008</a>. In 133 games and just over 500 plate appearances, A.J. hit .270/.373/.414/.787 with a .341 wOBA. He walked in 13% of his plate appearances while whiffing just over 21% of the time, and he impressively clubbed 13 homers after never hitting more than eight in any professional season, including stops in minor-league launching pads like Albuquerque.</p>
<p>Two important notes though: first, Ellis did have a 12.5 % HR/FB mark, and I expect some regression in that area in 2013, probably between that mark and his 2011 mark of 8.3%. Second, A.J. did backslide with the bat in the second half (.285/.404/.425/.830 pre-break &#038; .252/.336/.401/.737 post-break), which is not all that surprising for a guy in his first full season in the MLB who was never been known as a great hitter.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>Generally speaking, defense is difficult to quantify when looking at advanced statistics, and it&#8217;s most difficult to quantify for catchers. FanGraphs had Ellis <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5677&amp;position=C#fieldingadvanced" target="_blank">as a slight positive</a> behind the dish, and if you go the route of more traditional numbers, A.J. caught 32.7% of would-be baserunners and allowed eleven passed balls. He struck me as a guy who calls a good game and has a good rapport with the staff, but it&#8217;s definitely his offensive production that makes him the best option in an organization and one of the best in the NL.</p>
<p>As he heads into his age-32 season &#8212; and in need of a new contract that will see him on the receiving end of a nice raise &#8212; if Ellis can improve a bit with the glove, continue to draw walks and get on-base, and keep the power anywhere within range of where it was in 2012, he will once again be a boon for the club.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2265&amp;position=C" target="_blank"><strong>Matt Treanor</strong></a></p>
<p>He&#8217;s married to an attractive and talented woman and he <a href="http://deadspin.com/5942571/tj-simers-trolled-the-dodgers-and-matt-treanor-wanted-to-fight-him" target="_blank">told off <strong>T.J. Simers</strong></a>. So &#8230; win.</p>
<p>He hit <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2265&amp;position=C" target="_blank">.175/.281/.282/.563 with a .251 wOBA</a> in 2012 (with a negative fWAR) and will be replaced in 2013 by <strong>Tim Federowicz</strong>.</p>
<p>Well &#8230; I hope.</p>
<p>=====</p>
<p><em><strong>Greg Zakwin</strong> is the founder of the site <a href="http://plaschkethysweaterisargyle.blogspot.com/" target="_blank"><strong>Plaschke Thy Sweater Is Argyle</strong></a>. Follow him on Twitter <a href="http://www.twitter.com/ArgyledPlaschke" target="_blank"><strong>@ArgyledPlaschke</strong></a>.</em></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Around The Web: League Contract Reaction, Engle/Guerrero On Staff, Injury/Transaction Updates</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/11/around-the-web-league-contract-reaction-engleguerrero-on-staff-injurytransaction-update/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/11/around-the-web-league-contract-reaction-engleguerrero-on-staff-injurytransaction-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Nov 2012 22:30:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Around The Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SOSEFD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bob Engle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brandon League]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chad Billingsley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gene Grimaldi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jamie Storvick]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Sullivan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Zimmerman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kenley Jansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Tosar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pat Kelly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Patrick Guerrero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[R.J. Anderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seattle Mariners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Todd Coffey]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=12391</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Baseball America: Dodgers have hired Patrick Guerrero as their Latin American Coordinator. Guerrero, who lives in the Dominican Republic, will run the organization&#8217;s scouting throughout Latin America. The Mariners had fired Guerrero as their Latin American coordinator earlier this month at the same time they announced that Bob Engle, their vice president of international scouting, ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/ChadBillingsleyPitch-575x383.jpg" alt="" title="ChadBillingsleyPitch" width="575" height="383" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-12260" /></p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/2012/10/dodgers-hire-patrick-guerrero/" target="_blank"><strong>Baseball America</strong></a>: <strong>Dodgers</strong> have hired <strong>Patrick Guerrero</strong> as their Latin American Coordinator.</p>
<blockquote><p>Guerrero, who lives in the Dominican Republic, will run the organization&#8217;s scouting throughout Latin America. The Mariners had fired Guerrero as their Latin American coordinator earlier this month at the same time they announced that Bob Engle, their vice president of international scouting, had decided to leave the organization. Seattle&#8217;s decision to fire Guerrero, according to Baseball America&#8217;s sources, was made above Engle, an unusual move for a Latin American scout. Both Guerrero and Engle had been with the Mariners since 2000.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/2012/11/dodgers-hire-bob-engle-to-run-international-scouting/ " target="_blank"><strong>Baseball America</strong></a>: <strong>Bob Engle</strong> has been added to the Dodgers staff as the Vice President Of International Scouting.</p>
<blockquote><p>The Dodgers have made more changes to their international scouting department, most notably with today&#8217;s hiring of Bob Engle as their vice president of international scouting.</p>
<p>Bob Elliot reported last night on Twitter that the Dodgers were going to hire Engle, whose contract with the Mariners as their vice president of international scouting ended yesterday.</p>
<p>Word in the industry is that there could be more major changes coming to the team&#8217;s front office, but the team has already confirmed that Engle will bring aboard several of his former lieutenants with the Mariners to work for the Dodgers.</p></blockquote>
<p>He&#8217;ll bring on scouts that have worked with him with the <strong>Mariners</strong>.</p>
<blockquote><p>Three other scouts who had worked for Engle in Seattle will join his staff with the Dodgers. Pat Kelly is coming in as the team&#8217;s Pacific Rim coordinator after holding the same title in Seattle. Jamie Storvick, who resides in Taiwan, will also be heavily involved in the team&#8217;s Pacific Rim work. Gene Grimaldi will help lead the team&#8217;s efforts in Europe. The Dodgers are also bringing in Mike Tosar, who had been out of baseball but also previously worked with Engle in Seattle, as a special assignment scout.</p></blockquote>
<p>Dodgers continue to add quality staff, which can only be seen as a positive.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20121029&#038;content_id=40123602" target="_blank"><strong>MLB.com</strong></a>: <strong>Todd Coffey</strong>, <strong>Juan Rivera</strong>, and <strong>Matt Treanor</strong> had their options declined by the team.</p>
<blockquote><p>The Dodgers declined the 2013 contract options for pitcher Todd Coffey, outfielder Juan Rivera and catcher Matt Treanor on Monday.</p>
<p>Coffey, who missed the second half of the season after undergoing his second Tommy John elbow reconstruction surgery, was bought out of a $2.5 million salary for $300,000.</p>
<p>Rivera, who shuttled between left field and first base until the trades for Shane Victorino and Adrian Gonzalez, was bought out of a $4 million salary for $500,000.</p>
<p>Treanor, who saw only sporadic action backing up A.J. Ellis, was bought out of a $950,000 salary for $150,000.</p></blockquote>
<p>No shockers here. We&#8217;re all just glad they&#8217;re gone, I figure.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.latimes.com/sports/baseball/mlb/dodgers/la-sp-1030-dodgers-notes-20121030,0,570117.story" target="_blank"><strong>Los Angeles Times</strong></a>: <strong>Chad Billingsley</strong> seems to be on track to pitch in 2013.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;It looks like he&#8217;s going to be ready for the 2013 season,&#8221; said Dave Stewart, Billingsley&#8217;s agent.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Billingsley touched 94 mph with his fastball and threw an assortment of pitches, including his four-seamer, two-seamer, curveball and changeup. Billingsley threw 35 to 40 pitches.</p></blockquote>
<p>One still has to wonder how long this will last though. I haven&#8217;t heard of too many success stories in regards to rehabbing torn elbow ligaments.</p>
<p><a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20121029&#038;content_id=40125186" target="_blank"><strong>MLB.com</strong></a>: <strong>Kenley Jansen</strong> is on the road to recovery after heart surgery.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;I feel so much better now than I did at the end of the season,&#8221; said Jansen, who has recovered enough from last week&#8217;s heart surgery to take part in a Halloween candy giveaway on Monday at the Home Depot Center soccer stadium.</p>
<p>&#8220;I was dragging all day long at the end,&#8221; he said. &#8220;I can tell I&#8217;ve got so much more energy. Now I look at this soccer field and just want to get out there and start playing. I&#8217;m feeling so good.&#8221;</p>
<p>Jansen underwent a successful three-hour ablation surgery performed by Dr. Koonwalee Nademanee at White Memorial Hospital on Oct. 23. During the procedure, the abnormal tissue in his heart was identified and then cauterized to stop the erratic electrical signals sent from the area.</p>
<p>Jansen said his heart went into an irregular beat when the surgery started, helping doctors quickly pinpoint the areas needing attention. He said he still has some stiffness in his groin area, where two small incisions were made, but otherwise feels better than he had.</p>
<p>&#8220;It wasn&#8217;t scary at all,&#8221; said the 25-year-old. &#8220;I just wanted to get it over with. I feel it&#8217;s a relief and it will be good for me for the rest of my life. I just wanted to get it done, and I know this doctor is one of the great experts and I have a lot of confidence in him.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Baseball aside, I just hope this ends his heart issues once and for all.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/dodgers-make-haste-to-re-sign-brandon-league/ " target="_blank"><strong>FanGraphs</strong></a>: <strong>Jeff Sullivan</strong> thinks that <strong>Brandon League</strong>&#8216;s contract is an example of inefficiency by the team.</p>
<blockquote><p>Yet I might just be skipping around the major point. Brandon League has closer-type stuff, and the Dodgers want League to close, but the Dodgers already had an effective closer in Kenley Jansen. Granted, Jansen just underwent heart surgery, but his outlook is very good and he intends to be at full strength come spring training. Last year Jansen had 99 strikeouts in 65 appearances. He’s dominant when he’s pitching, and on top of that, he’s cheap. So the Dodgers aren’t paying League to fill a gaping void. That makes this move seem more unnecessary.</p>
<p>And League has supposedly figured it out before, only to lose it again within weeks or months. The fact that he had to re-discover the feel for his splitter says that, previously, he has lost the feel for his splitter after having had it. League, at his absolute best, is a very good reliever worth millions of dollars, but he’s seldom at his absolute best and he’s hardly been the model of consistency. The Dodgers didn’t just make a godawful move. They made a move that’s easier to criticize than defend. Individual inefficiencies aren’t a big deal, but individual inefficiencies do add up, and the Dodgers seem to be adding them up.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=18808 " target="_blank"><strong>Baseball Prospectus</strong></a>: <strong>R.J. Anderson</strong> doesn&#8217;t think history will view the deal favorably.</p>
<blockquote><p>Handing out a three-year deal to any non-elite reliever is asking for a lousy return on investment—ditto the $7.5 million average annual value. Why then are the Dodgers marching into the land of poor ROI? It might be that Colletti suspects the rest of the league, flush with cash, will hit the market with similar ferocity; causing an apparent overpay to blend in with the norm in the coming weeks. The chicken-or-the-egg scenario here is whether Colletti’s attempt to beat the market inadvertently set the market, but that’s a topic for another day. In a market with so many right-handed relief options available, it seems fair to ask if the endowment effect fooled the Dodgers into liking League more than they should.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>In all likelihood, no one, save League and his agency, will stamp this move with a gold star in three years. You can make sense of it from the Dodgers’ point of view if you want to, however.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/10/dodgers-sign-brandon-league-to-a-3-year-22-5-million-deal-analysis/" target="_blank">Sounds familiar</a>, so I guess I&#8217;m not the only one thinking along those lines.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/injury-chances-for-strike-throwers/" target="_blank"><strong>FanGraphs</strong></a>: Does throwing a lot of strikes indicate a pitcher who is at less risk for injury? A case study by <strong>Jeff Zimmerman</strong> seems to suggest that.</p>
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		<title>Injury Roll Call: Kemp Needs Surgery, Kershaw Avoids It, Capuano &amp; Treanor Suffer Injuries</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/10/injury-roll-call-kemp-needs-surgery-kershaw-avoids-it-capuano-treanor-suffer-injuries/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/10/injury-roll-call-kemp-needs-surgery-kershaw-avoids-it-capuano-treanor-suffer-injuries/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Oct 2012 17:18:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Greg Zakwin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Features]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Injury Roll Call]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Capuano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clayton Kershaw]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Kemp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=11500</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Matt Kemp will undergo arthroscopic surgery tomorrow on his injured left shoulder to fix his frayed labrum. The rehab period could be weeks or months, depending on the extent of the damage. I said it when it was revealed to be a serious injury, but the fact that the Dodgers didn&#8217;t shut him down was ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/MattKempClaytonKershaw-575x368.jpg" alt="" title="MattKempClaytonKershaw" width="575" height="368" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-7944" /></p>
<p><strong>Matt Kemp</strong> will <a href="https://twitter.com/Dodgers/status/253701935532765184" target="_blank">undergo arthroscopic surgery</a> tomorrow on his injured left shoulder to fix his frayed labrum. The rehab period could be weeks or months, <a href="https://twitter.com/dylanohernandez/status/253681961174958081" target="_blank">depending on the extent of the damage</a>.</p>
<p>I said it when it was revealed to be a serious injury, but the fact that the <strong>Dodgers</strong> didn&#8217;t shut him down was ludicrous. He &#8211; along with <strong>Clayton Kershaw</strong>, who we&#8217;ll get to in a minute &#8211; is the franchise, and risking his long-term health for a long-shot at the playoffs when he&#8217;s just entering his prime and is signed for near a decade is shortsighted and insane.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s to relatively good news when the doctors get in his shoulder, as well as a speedy recovery, for The Bison.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>The aforementioned Kershaw will <a href="http://www.latimes.com/sports/baseball/mlb/dodgers/la-sp-1004-dodgers-notes-20121004,0,1815303.story" target="_blank">not need surgery</a> on his injured hip.</p>
<p>That, of course, doesn&#8217;t excuse the club for letting him pitch last night, or at all, quite frankly, since he suffered the injury. Normally it&#8217;s fine to trust the doctors with the proprietary information, but it&#8217;s not as if the Dodgers staff has deserved our trust after this season.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><strong>Chris Capuano</strong> <a href="https://twitter.com/dylanohernandez/status/253273205727449088" target="_blank">injured his shoulder</a> in a freak accident.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t worry, it doesn&#8217;t seem serious at all, but yeah, he hit himself &#8230; with a batting donut.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><strong>Matt Treanor</strong> <a href="https://twitter.com/kengurnick/status/253287116665135104" target="_blank">reportedly strained a muscle</a> in his side.</p>
<p>Hopefully he recovers fine, but it probably won&#8217;t matter much as far as the team is concerned since I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;ll be back.</p>
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		<title>Tim Federowicz, Alex Castellanos, Javy Guerra Lead Potential September Helpers</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/09/tim-federowicz-alex-castellanos-javy-guerra-lead-potential-september-helpers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/09/tim-federowicz-alex-castellanos-javy-guerra-lead-potential-september-helpers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Sep 2012 13:55:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Kennedy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Castellanos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bobby Abreu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chad Billingsley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dee Gordon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elian Herrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javy Guerra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Sands]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Ely]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Wall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Uribe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kenley Jansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Angle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nick Punto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rubby De La Rosa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Elbert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Van Slyke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shane Victorino]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stephen Fife]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ted Lilly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Federowicz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Gwynn Jr.]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=9286</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Now that rosters have expanded, let the speculation on who gets the September call begin! Pump the brakes a bit though, because unfortunately for the people who wish to see young players show their stuff: 1) the 40-man roster is full 2) guys on the 60-day DL are due to return 3) um &#8230; the ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/JavyGuerraCheapBullpen-500x285.jpg" alt="" title="JavyGuerraCheapBullpen" width="500" height="285" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2052" /></p>
<p>Now that rosters have expanded, let the speculation on who gets the September call begin!</p>
<p>Pump the brakes a bit though, because unfortunately for the people who wish to see young players show their stuff: 1) the 40-man roster is full 2) guys on the 60-day DL are due to return 3) um &#8230; the team just traded away all of the top prospects that were close to contributing.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>One of the primary issues is that <strong>Rubby De La Rosa</strong> and <strong>Jerry Sands</strong> are still on the Dodgers 40-man roster, so it creates a bit of a mess in terms of roster spots. This is especially true because <strong>Ted Lilly</strong> (maybe) and <strong>Dee Gordon</strong> are set to return, which means guys will have to get designated just to fit them in. Perhaps <strong>Chad Billingsley</strong>, <strong>Kenley Jansen</strong>, or <strong>Scott Elbert</strong> could be placed on the 60-day DL, but that creates more holes, not less.</p>
<p>Either way, guys like <strong>Adam Kennedy</strong>, <strong>Juan Uribe</strong>, <strong>Matt Angle</strong>, <strong>Elian Herrera</strong>, and <strong>Stephen Fife</strong> might not want to get too comfortable on the 40-man, depending on what direction the team decides on. However, due to the roster crunch, those hoping for players not on the 40-man roster to get called &#8212; like <strong>John Ely</strong>, <strong>Tony Gwynn Jr.</strong>, and <strong>Bobby Abreu</strong> &#8212; might be left disappointed.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>Among those who I feel could help the team immediately are <strong>Tim Federowicz</strong>, <strong>Javy Guerra</strong>, <strong>Josh Wall</strong>, and <strong>Alex Castellanos</strong>. I <a href="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/08/rubby-de-la-rosa-deserves-his-promotion-to-the-dodgers-but-why-demote-javy-guerra/" target="_blank">already went over the reasons Guerra could contribute</a>, as I believed sending him down to begin with was foolish. Wall, despite just an average year at AAA, has the raw stuff catch fire and help stabilize a suddenly shaky bullpen. Federowicz is not as good a hitter as his .296/.371/.465/.836 line in AAA would indicate, but he&#8217;s a good defender and is an upgrade over <strong>Matt Treanor</strong> right now. Castellanos could provide right-handed thump off the bench, as his .338/.431/.610/1.041 line in AAA would somewhat indicate. I&#8217;d rather see him get a chance than continue to run <strong>Juan Rivera</strong> out there, that&#8217;s for sure.</p>
<p>Other possibilities on the 40-man are <strong>Scott Van Slyke</strong> and Fife. Van Slyke could do much the same as Castellanos, but I have less confidence in his bat. Still, he can hardly be a worse pinch hitting option than Uribe or Kennedy or <strong>Nick Punto</strong>. I&#8217;m not sure Fife would fit in the bullpen, but if he&#8217;s not going to get designated then he could be called up to use as a long man.</p>
<p>Ely, Gwynn, and Abreu could all help, but I have to think they&#8217;re long shots due to the roster crunch reasons I mentioned earlier. Personally, I would have no problem designating about a half dozen players, but the team has somehow managed to resist doing that all year, so I don&#8217;t see why they would start now. With that said, if a starter goes down with injury, Ely deserves a chance after putting up a 3.20 ERA in 168.2 innings with solid peripherals in that league. Gwynn has put up a .304/.400/.393/.793 line at AAA and I really feel like he has to be added to the 40-man and called up somehow, if for no other reason than to pinch run. If Abreu&#8217;s healthy, he could probably do what <strong>Shane Victorino</strong> is producing in left right now sans the defense, so he could be a useful bench guy.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>Assuming Billingsley, Jansen, and Elbert return from injury, and that Gordon will be back but not Lilly, I would call on Federowicz, Guerra, Wall, Castellanos, Van Slyke, Gwynn, and Abreu while designating Uribe, Angle, and Herrera.</p>
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		<title>4 Dodgers Prospects &amp; 1 Manager Make Best Tools List + Complete List Of Dodgers International Signings</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/08/4-dodgers-prospects-1-manager-make-best-tools-list-complete-list-of-dodgers-international-signings/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/08/4-dodgers-prospects-1-manager-make-best-tools-list-complete-list-of-dodgers-international-signings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Aug 2012 16:02:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SOSEFD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Albert Romano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Albuquerque Isotopes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Angel Pena]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[C.J. Retherford]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California League]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cristian Gomez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Don Mattingly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dustin Nosler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ezequiel Guzman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Garrett Gould]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Great Lakes Loons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Baldwin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jorlin Javier Chales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Julian Leon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lenix Osuna]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lorenzo Bundy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Alcantara]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Jimenez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Subero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Rosario]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Midwest League]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Omarlin Franco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Coast League]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rafael Gomez King]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rancho Cucamonga Quakes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Federowicz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Victor Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Soto]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=8674</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Baseball America has released their Best Tools rankings for 2012 and it includes four Dodgers prospects and one Dodgers manager. Tim Federowicz of the Albuquerque Isotopes was named Best Defensive Catcher in the Pacific Coast League. His manager, Lorenzo Bundy, was voted as the Best Managerial Prospect in the league. Garrett Gould of the Rancho ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_7720" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 585px"><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Garret-Gould_cropped-575x472.jpg" alt="" title="GarrettGould" width="575" height="472" class="size-large wp-image-7720" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Garrett Gould throws during the June 5th game against the Stockton Ports. Photo by Dustin Nosler.</p></div>
<p><strong>Baseball America</strong> has <a href="http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/prospects/best-tools/2012/2613858.html" target="_blank">released their Best Tools rankings for 2012</a> and it includes four <strong>Dodgers</strong> prospects and one Dodgers manager.</p>
<p><strong>Tim Federowicz</strong> of the <strong>Albuquerque Isotopes</strong> was named Best Defensive Catcher in the <strong>Pacific Coast League</strong>. His manager, <strong>Lorenzo Bundy</strong>, was voted as the Best Managerial Prospect in the league. <strong>Garrett Gould</strong> of the <strong>Rancho Cucamonga Quakes</strong> was voted as having the Best Breaking Pitch in the <strong>California League</strong>. His teammate, <strong>C.J. Retherford</strong>, was named as the Best Defensive 3B in the league. <strong>James Baldwin</strong> of the <strong>Great Lakes Loons</strong> was voted as the Best Baserunner in the <strong>Midwest League</strong>.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m quite certain that Federowicz could do a better job than <strong>Matt Treanor</strong> right now, but one gets the feeling that the team believes he can be a starter down the road, so they want him getting regular playing time. Gould is <a href="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/06/scouting-report-june-2012-garrett-gould/" target="_blank">a prospect that both <strong>Dustin Nosler</strong> and I like</a>, and his recognition is well deserved. Retherford is not a prospect at this point in his career and Baldwin might be a great baserunner, but he&#8217;s not a great hitter. As for Bundy, if he wants to manage in the MLB someday, he&#8217;ll probably have to take a job outside the organization, as I don&#8217;t think <strong>Don Mattingly</strong> is going anywhere for a while (nor should he).</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/DodgersInternationalSignings.png" alt="" title="DodgersInternationalSignings" width="397" height="210" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8695" /></p>
<p>The Dodgers recently <a href="http://www.vinscullyismyhomeboy.com/2012/08/dodgers-international-signings.html" target="_blank">released the rest of the names of their international signing class</a> of 2012. It had <a href="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/07/dodgers-sign-cristian-gomez-lenix-osuna-victor-gonzalez-william-soto-and-julian-leon/" target="_blank">previously been revealed</a> that the team had inked <strong>Cristian Gomez</strong> out of the Dominican Republic, <strong>William Soto</strong> out of Venezuela, and <strong>Lenix Osuna</strong>, <strong>Victor Gonzalez</strong>, and <strong>Julian Leon</strong> out of Mexico. The rest of the names, though, had not been revealed until now.</p>
<p>They are <strong>Martin Rosario</strong> out of Puerto Rico, <strong>Luis Subero</strong> and <strong>Angel Pena</strong> out of Venezuela, and <strong>Rafael Gomez King</strong>, <strong>Omarlin Franco</strong>, <strong>Luis Alcantara</strong>, <strong>Luis Jimenez</strong>, <strong>Ezequiel Guzman</strong>, <strong>Albert Romano</strong>, and <strong>Jorlin Javier Chales</strong> out of the Dominican Republic.</p>
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		<title>Dodgers Sign Miles (Yes, Really) + Hairston To The DL &amp; Rivera To The Glue Factory</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/05/dodgers-sign-miles-yes-really-hairston-to-the-dl-rivera-to-the-glue-factory/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/05/dodgers-sign-miles-yes-really-hairston-to-the-dl-rivera-to-the-glue-factory/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 May 2012 17:18:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SOSEFD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Miles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Kennedy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Hairston Jr.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Sellers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike MacDougal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Todd Coffey]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=6415</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Dodgers have &#8230; signed Aaron Miles &#8230; why? The Dodgers have signed free-agent infielder Aaron Miles and asked for unconditional release waivers on right-handed reliever Mike MacDougal, who was designated for assignment last Thursday when Ronald Belisario was activated. How does a player like Miles price himself out of the free agent market? How ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <strong>Dodgers</strong> have &#8230; <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120511&#038;content_id=30974310&#038;notebook_id=31026592" target="_blank">signed</a> <strong>Aaron Miles</strong> &#8230; why?</p>
<blockquote><p>The Dodgers have signed free-agent infielder Aaron Miles and asked for unconditional release waivers on right-handed reliever Mike MacDougal, who was designated for assignment last Thursday when Ronald Belisario was activated. </p></blockquote>
<p>How does a player like Miles price himself out of the free agent market? How delusional was he, exactly?</p>
<p>&#8220;<em>Oh ho ho! Albert Pujols got paid $240 million this off-season, and his WAR was only six times higher than mine, so it&#8217;s $40 million or bust for me in 2012!</em>&#8221;</p>
<p>Fail.</p>
<p>Then there&#8217;s the <strong>Mike MacDougal</strong> news, which you may be celebrating about, until you realize that <strong>Todd Coffey</strong> has somehow managed to be worse.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>In &#8220;oh well&#8221; <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120511&#038;content_id=30974310&#038;notebook_id=30981144" target="_blank">injury news</a>, <strong>Juan Rivera</strong> is going to be out for a while.</p>
<blockquote><p>Dodgers outfielder Juan Rivera has a ruptured left hamstring tendon and could be out as long as two months, trainer Sue Falsone said on Friday.</p>
<p>Rivera &#8212; who had been hobbled by hamstring problems for weeks but felt a pop sliding into third base on Tuesday night and was placed on the disabled list on Wednesday &#8212; has a rupture where the tendon inserts into the knee. Falsone said it is an unusual baseball injury and there&#8217;s a medical debate whether surgery is appropriate.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;We will re-evaluate after two weeks and see where we&#8217;re at,&#8221; Falsone said. &#8220;[Rivera] did some exercises today and was pain-free. The best case is that he&#8217;s ready to return in 15 days, but I don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s what we&#8217;re looking at. The worst case is six to eight weeks. He will play this season, for sure.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>In &#8220;aw shit&#8221; <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120511&#038;content_id=30967968" target="_blank">injury news</a>, <strong>Jerry Hairston Jr.</strong> won&#8217;t be back for a while.</p>
<blockquote><p>The Dodgers placed infielder Jerry Hairston on the 15-day disabled list on Friday with a strained left hamstring and recalled infielder Justin Sellers from Triple-A Albuquerque.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;It would be a foolish thing to go out there and blow it out and miss two months,&#8221; said Hairston. &#8220;I blew out the right one and was out three or four weeks. This won&#8217;t take that long.</p></blockquote>
<p>Can you imagine a bench of Aaron Miles, <strong>Justin Sellers</strong>, <strong>Adam Kennedy</strong>, and <strong>Matt Treanor</strong>?</p>
<p>I mean &#8230; seriously?</p>
<p>On a first place team.</p>
<p>Seriously.</p>
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		<title>Los Angeles Dodgers 2012 Season Preview: Catcher</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/03/los-angeles-dodgers-2012-season-preview-catcher/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/03/los-angeles-dodgers-2012-season-preview-catcher/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Mar 2012 11:03:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Greg Zakwin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A.J. Ellis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Santana]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dee Gordon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dioner Navarro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hall Of Fame]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ellis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Kemp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Piazza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Misty May]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ned Colletti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul LoDuca]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rod Barajas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roy Campanella]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russell Martin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Season Preview]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=4425</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When the list of Hall Of Fame catchers in Los Angeles Dodgers history is taken into consideration &#8211; Roy Campanella &#038; Mike Piazza (not to mention the good showings of Russell Martin &#038; Paul LoDuca) &#8211; the recent state of the backstop position in Los Angeles becomes even more depressing. The future in Carlos Santana ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/AJEllisRunning-575x323.jpg" alt="" title="AJEllisRunning" width="575" height="323" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-4393" /></p>
<p>When the list of <strong>Hall Of Fame</strong> catchers in <strong>Los Angeles Dodgers</strong> history is taken into consideration &#8211; <strong>Roy Campanella</strong> &#038; <strong>Mike Piazza</strong> (not to mention the good showings of <strong>Russell Martin</strong> &#038; <strong>Paul LoDuca</strong>) &#8211; the recent state of the backstop position in Los Angeles becomes even more depressing.</p>
<p>The future in <strong>Carlos Santana</strong> gets shipped out, a declining but still solid Martin is let go in favor of veteran retreads like <strong>Rod Barajas</strong> and <strong>Dioner Navarro</strong>, and the one guy who can actually benefit the team with his bat (<strong>A.J. Ellis</strong>) will likely get dumped at the bottom of the lineup. Remember <strong>Ned Colletti</strong>, the object of the game is to score more runs than the other team.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>Heading into the 2012 campaign, the Dodgers will hand the reigns over to Ellis and his solid defense and excellent on-base skills. Though lacking in the power department, the soon-to-be 31-year-old has <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5677&amp;position=C" target="_blank">a career slash line of</a> .262/.360/.330/.690 with a .314 wOBA (including a career best .346 last season). That pretty much sums his offensive skills up perfectly: decent average, doesn&#8217;t hit for power, but gets on-base at a very high level for a catcher. A.J. has appeared in just 87 games at the big league level and his career BB% is 11.5%, though it has trended upwards (10.9%/13.6%).</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>It doesn&#8217;t take a rocket scientist to understand that A.J. draws walks and gets on, whereas neither <strong>Dee Gordon</strong> nor <strong>Mark Ellis</strong> do (recently, at least). So logic would dictate that the guy who gets on-base should bat higher in the lineup, particularly if you want <strong>Matt Kemp</strong>&#8216;s &#8220;Beast Mode&#8221; to produce more than solo homers.</p>
<p>Oh, and <strong>Matt Treanor</strong> was signed to a guaranteed one-year deal with a club option for a second year. His wife is professional beach volleyball player/bikini wearer <strong>Misty May</strong>, so perhaps she&#8217;ll make an appearance or two at the ballpark. That&#8217;s about the only plus I can think of regarding him.</p>
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		<title>[Update] Los Angeles Dodgers Sign Aaron Harang To 2 Year/$12 Million Deal + Analysis</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2011/12/los-angeles-dodgers-sign-aaron-harang-to-2-year12-million-deal-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2011/12/los-angeles-dodgers-sign-aaron-harang-to-2-year12-million-deal-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Dec 2011 13:30:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transactions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Harang]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Kennedy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Capuano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hiroki Kuroda]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Hairston Jr.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jon Heyman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ellis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ted Lilly]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=2965</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Los Angeles Dodgers have signed right-handed starting pitcher Aaron Harang to a 2 year deal worth $12 million, according to Jon Heyman of Sports Illustrated. The deal is assumed to be back loaded, but there&#8217;s no confirmation on that yet. &#8212;&#8211; Once upon a time, Harang was a consistent workhorse type of pitcher for ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/AaronHarangSigning-500x411.jpg" alt="" title="AaronHarangSigning" width="500" height="411" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2967" /></p>
<p>The <strong>Los Angeles Dodgers</strong> have signed right-handed starting pitcher <strong>Aaron Harang</strong> to a 2 year deal worth $12 million, <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/Jon_Heyman/statuses/143956292099260416" target="_blank">according</a> to <strong>Jon Heyman</strong> of <strong>Sports Illustrated</strong>. The deal is assumed to be back loaded, but there&#8217;s no confirmation on that yet.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>Once upon a time, Harang was a consistent workhorse type of pitcher for the Reds, posting three consecutive seasons with an ERA- below 90 from 2005 to 2007 (3.83/3.76/3.73). From 2008 to 2010 though, things weren&#8217;t as pretty, and his Reds career ended with him posting an ERA- of 130 (5.32).</p>
<p>Like a lot of pitchers try to do, he headed to the Padres to ramp up his value, and Petco Park certainly seemed to do the trick, as he posted a career best 3.63 ERA. However, his ERA- was just 105 and his peripheral skills weren&#8217;t all that different from 2010 (16.3/17.3 K% &#038; 7.5/8.1 BB%).</p>
<p>As such, the 2012 Dodgers are basically getting a 2010 Aaron Harang salvage title car with minor body work done in 2011 to make it look like a 2005-2007 generation but an engine that&#8217;s still as questionable as the 2008-2010 version.</p>
<div id="attachment_2978" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 366px"><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/AaronHarangContract.jpg" alt="" title="AaronHarangContract" width="356" height="82" class="size-full wp-image-2978" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Yearly Salary Estimated</p></div>
<p>Assuming he&#8217;s even able to stay healthy, which hasn&#8217;t exactly been a given since 2007, his skills indicate that he&#8217;s about a 4.20 ERA type of pitcher in Dodger Stadium, which is basically like a right-handed version of <strong>Ted Lilly</strong>.</p>
<p>I gave him 175 innings pitched, which came out to around 12 runs above replacement. Given that he&#8217;s going into his age 34 season in 2012, I regressed him a bit as well.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not going over this <a href="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2011/12/los-angeles-dodgers-sign-jerry-hairston-jr-to-2-year6-million-deal-analysis/" target="_blank">again and again</a>, but I&#8217;m just gonna say that with all this money they&#8217;ve spent over the off-season, the Dodgers probably could have signed <strong>Hiroki Kuroda</strong>, <strong>Chris Capuano</strong>, and <strong>Mark Ellis</strong> if they just resisted the temptation to give away money to Harang, <strong>Juan Rivera</strong>, <strong>Matt Treanor</strong>, <strong>Adam Kennedy</strong>, and <strong>Jerry Hairston Jr.</strong>.</p>
<p>=====<br />
<strong>Update</strong><br />
=====</p>
<p>The Dodgers officially announced the Harang signing on Thursday, and with it came <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20111206&#038;content_id=26103514&#038;vkey=news_la&#038;c_id=la&#038;partnerId=rss_la" target="_blank">the contract specifics</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>Harang will receive $3 million in 2012 and $7 million in 2013. In &#8217;14, there is an option with a $2 million buyout. The option for 2014 will vest between $7 million and $8 million if he eats up at least 360 innings over the two years and at least 175 innings in &#8217;13.</p></blockquote>
<p>Since the terms are now known, I figured I should update my chart.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/AaronHarangContractUpdate.jpg" alt="" title="AaronHarangContractUpdate" width="356" height="223" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3057" /></p>
<p>For the most part, it&#8217;s still the same deal, but it&#8217;s deferred even more than I predicted.</p>
<p>While many aren&#8217;t happy about the vesting option, I would argue that it&#8217;s actually not worse than the buyout. In order for Harang to vest, he has to be healthy, therefore I staved off a WAR decline in 2014, making the option year almost Surplus Value neutral.</p>
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		<title>Los Angeles Dodgers Sign Adam Kennedy To 1 Year/$800k Deal + Analysis</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2011/12/los-angeles-dodgers-sign-adam-kennedy-to-1-year800k-deal-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2011/12/los-angeles-dodgers-sign-adam-kennedy-to-1-year800k-deal-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Dec 2011 13:27:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transactions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Kennedy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dylan Hernandez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ellis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ned Colletti]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=2871</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to Dylan Hernandez of the Los Angeles Times, the Los Angeles Dodgers have signed infielder Adam Kennedy to a 1 year deal worth $800k with the chance to earn $150k in incentives based on plate appearances. It&#8217;s assumed that the addition of Kennedy will help round out the bench core, as he provides a ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/AdamKennedyDodgers-500x333.jpg" alt="" title="AdamKennedyDodgers.jpg" width="500" height="333" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2874" /></p>
<p>According to <strong>Dylan Hernandez</strong> of the <strong>Los Angeles Times</strong>, the <strong>Los Angeles Dodgers</strong> <a href="http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/dodgers/2011/11/adam-kennedy-agrees-to-one-year-deal-with-dodgers.html" target="_blank">have signed</a> infielder <strong>Adam Kennedy</strong> to a 1 year deal worth $800k with the chance to earn $150k in incentives based on plate appearances.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s assumed that the addition of Kennedy will help round out the bench core, as he provides a left handed bat that can play 1B, 2B, and 3B.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/AdamKennedyContract.jpg" alt="" title="AdamKennedyContract" width="347" height="62" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2883" /></p>
<p>The breakdown of the WAR is -12.0 batting, -1 baserunning, -0.5 defense, 1 position, and 10 replacement.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>I chalked him up for 300 plate appearances, so I assumed the $150k in incentives wouldn&#8217;t kick in. The exact playing time is not that important to the value anyway, as the more playing time he gets, the worse he projects.</p>
<p>For his defense and baserunning, Kennedy actually holds his own effectively at all three positions and he runs the bases well enough, so he doesn&#8217;t figure to be a liability for the team in either department.</p>
<p>With the bat, Kennedy has put up slash lines of <strong>.249/.327/.327/.655</strong> and <strong>.234/.277/.355/.632</strong> in 2010 and 2011, respectively. Needless to say, that&#8217;s quite poor, which is reflected in the respective .303 and .278 wOBA totals. His BABIP has been a bit below expectations for two straight seasons, so there&#8217;s a chance his numbers could take a uptick, but the numbers might simply be about Kennedy failing to make solid contact anymore. I ended up projecting him at a .285 wOBA, and given that he&#8217;ll be 36, it&#8217;s almost taking the high side of things.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t think I need to tell you that the signing is looking utterly pointless, as he&#8217;s a replacement level player at best. For the Dodgers, considering his replacement might already be a better player than he is, I don&#8217;t see the point in guaranteeing him anything.</p>
<p>=====</p>
<p>As I&#8217;ve said many times before, the lack of funds from the owner in recent years has prevented <strong>Ned Colletti</strong> from repeating his disastrous free agent signings from early in his career, and in a vacuum you can&#8217;t point to <strong>Matt Treanor</strong> or Adam Kennedy or <strong>Mark Ellis</strong> or <strong>Juan Rivera</strong> deals as significantly damaging. However, all those deals do continue the trend of Colletti&#8217;s poor asset management, where 1 million is wasted here and 4 million is wasted there, all on mediocre upgrades that lead to either reduced roster spots for better players or lack of funds to sign actual impact players.</p>
<p>Painful.</p>
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		<title>Los Angeles Dodgers Sign Matt Treanor To 1 Year/$1 Million Deal + Analysis</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2011/11/los-angeles-dodgers-sign-matt-treanor-to-1-year1-million-deal-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2011/11/los-angeles-dodgers-sign-matt-treanor-to-1-year1-million-deal-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Nov 2011 01:02:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transactions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dylan Hernandez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Treanor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Federowicz]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=2719</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday, the Los Angeles Dodgers announced the signing of catcher Matt Treanor to a one year deal worth $850,000 with an option year for 2013 and a $150,000 buyout. Dylan Hernandez of the Los Angeles Times added that the option year would clock in at $950,000. &#8212;&#8211; Treanor is a career backup, which is probably ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_2742" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/MattTreanorMistyMay.jpg" alt="" title="MattTreanorMistyMay" width="300" height="504" class="size-full wp-image-2742" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Mr. Misty May Replaces Mr. Mia Hamm</p></div>
<p>Yesterday, the <strong>Los Angeles Dodgers</strong> <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20111115&#038;content_id=25975564&#038;vkey=news_la&#038;c_id=la&#038;partnerId=rss_la" target="_blank">announced the signing</a> of catcher <strong>Matt Treanor</strong> to a one year deal worth $850,000 with an option year for 2013 and a $150,000 buyout. <strong>Dylan Hernandez</strong> of the <strong>Los Angeles Times</strong> <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/dylanohernandez/statuses/136602695204212736" target="_blank">added that</a> the option year would clock in at $950,000.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>Treanor is a career backup, which is probably the role he&#8217;ll be expected to hold with the Dodgers in 2012. His .225/.315/.307/.622 career line (.282 wOBA) is unfortunately representative of his talent level and it&#8217;s what fans should expect from him going forward. I have his offensive numbers at .225/.320/.300/.620 with a .280 wOBA.</p>
<p>Given 200 PA, he projects to be worth -8.5 batting, -1 baserunning, -4 defense, 6.5 replacement, and 4 position. Not good.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/MattTreanorContract.png" alt="" title="MattTreanorContract" width="343" height="183" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2745" /></p>
<p>Nobody should be happy about this deal but the damaged is minimal because it&#8217;s a backup catcher and it&#8217;s only a million dollars.</p>
<p>Would probably prefer to see <strong>Tim Federowicz</strong> over Matt Treanor, as it would be hard for him to total in the negative WAR range and he only makes the league minimum.</p>
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