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	<title>Chad Moriyama &#187; Gina Miller</title>
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	<description>Dodgers, Sabermetrics, Scouting</description>
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		<title>[Updated] Dodgers sign Zack Greinke to 6-year/$147 million contract</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/12/dodgers-sign-zack-greinke-to-6-year147-million-contract/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/12/dodgers-sign-zack-greinke-to-6-year147-million-contract/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 09 Dec 2012 02:14:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transactions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[C.C. Sabathia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clayton Kershaw]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gina Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J.D. Drew]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Bowden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jon Heyman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zack Greinke]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=12997</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Dodgers have signed Zack Greinke to a 6-year, $147 million contract, according to Jon Heyman, with Gina Miller getting the scoop. The $24.5 million average annual value of the deal makes him the highest-paid pitcher in baseball on a per-year basis. If you&#8217;ve followed me in years past, you&#8217;d know that I usually do ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/ZackGreinkeBrewers.jpg" alt="" title="ZackGreinkeBrewers" width="523" height="390" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-12712" /></p>
<p>The <strong>Dodgers</strong> have signed <strong>Zack Greinke</strong> to a 6-year, $147 million contract, <a href="https://twitter.com/JonHeymanCBS/status/277592567745490944" target="_blank">according to</a> <strong>Jon Heyman</strong>, with <strong>Gina Miller</strong> getting the scoop. The $24.5 million average annual value of the deal makes him the highest-paid pitcher in baseball on a per-year basis.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;ve followed me in years past, you&#8217;d know that I usually do some type of efficiency analysis in terms of whether the deal makes sense on a dollars per WAR basis, but at this stage, with the 2013 payroll already around $235 million, I&#8217;m not sure it matters as much.</p>
<p>The important part now is whether or not Greinke is a quality pitcher and whether he makes the Dodgers better, and those questions aren&#8217;t even debatable.</p>
<p>After battling back from anxiety issues and becoming a full-time starting pitcher again, he has averaged 5.7 FIP WAR and 4.8 RA WAR over the past five years. Needless to say, he&#8217;ll slot in nicely behind <strong>Clayton Kershaw</strong> in the rotation, and even looking if we do look at it from the $/WAR perspective, at a $5 million per WAR rate and growing, it hardly seems like an overpay.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p><strong>Update</strong>: <strong>Jim Bowden</strong> <a href="https://twitter.com/JimBowdenESPNxm/statuses/277660862842548224" target="_blank">said on Twitter</a> that the contract has an opt-out clause after three years, and that it also has a provision in case he&#8217;s traded.</p>
<blockquote><p>According to a Dodger source:Greinke has a full player opt out clause after 3 yrs &#038; if traded during contract he can opt out at end of yr</p></blockquote>
<p>Not sure how legit this is considering that he was <a href="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/12/rumor-mill-zack-greinke-consensus-shifts-to-texas-dee-gordon-trade-destinations-expand/" target="_blank">the one shilling the hardest of the &#8220;Greinke to the <strong>Rangers</strong>&#8221; crowd</a>, but if it&#8217;s true, does it change anything?</p>
<p>Not really.</p>
<p>Obviously the risk here shifts entirely to the team, much like with the <strong>J.D. Drew</strong> situation, but if he pitches excellent and opts out at 32 to look for a new contract, either the Dodgers let him walk and go after another front-end guy, or give him a minor raise/extension to retain his services, much like the <strong>Yankees</strong> did with <strong>C.C. Sabathia</strong>.</p>
<p>I&#8217;d rather not have it in there, but it&#8217;s not a deal-breaker or anything.</p>
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