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	<title>Chad Moriyama &#187; Adam Wainwright</title>
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	<description>Dodgers, Sabermetrics, Scouting</description>
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		<title>2012 MLB Playoff Chase: Dodgers still trying to become the least best NL playoff team</title>
		<link>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/09/2012-mlb-playoffs-chase-dodgers-still-trying-to-become-the-least-best-nl-playoff-team/</link>
		<comments>http://www.chadmoriyama.com/2012/09/2012-mlb-playoffs-chase-dodgers-still-trying-to-become-the-least-best-nl-playoff-team/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2012 23:47:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chad Moriyama</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Game Thoughts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SOSEFD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 MLB Playoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AccuScore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Wainwright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball Prospectus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cincinnati Reds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clayton Kershaw]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colorado Rockies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cool Standings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Edwin Jackson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Francis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MLB Playoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[St. Louis Cardinals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Nationals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chadmoriyama.com/?p=11359</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Dodgers are currently three games back of the Cardinals for the National League&#8216;s final playoff spot. Los Angeles has a 4.5% chance of making the playoffs according to Cool Standings and a 5.6% chance according to Baseball Prospectus. Doesn&#8217;t take a math whiz to figure that 1-in-20 aren&#8217;t good odds, but gaining a game ...]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.chadmoriyama.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/DodgersRockies-09282012-575x233.jpg" alt="" title="DodgersRockies-09282012" width="575" height="233" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-11378" /></p>
<p>The <strong>Dodgers</strong> are currently three games back of the <strong>Cardinals</strong> for the <strong>National League</strong>&#8216;s final playoff spot. Los Angeles has a 4.5% chance of making the playoffs according to <strong>Cool Standings</strong> and a 5.6% chance according to <strong>Baseball Prospectus</strong>. Doesn&#8217;t take a math whiz to figure that 1-in-20 aren&#8217;t good odds, but gaining a game and a half over the past two days actually revived the on-life-support playoff hopes (1-2%) of the team.</p>
<p>Given that the Cardinals play the <strong>Nationals</strong> and the <strong>Reds</strong> to finish the season, two of the best teams in baseball, and the Dodgers have the <strong>Rockies</strong> and the <strong>Giants</strong>, anything does seem possible. It becomes absolutely imperative though that the Dodgers sweep the Rockies before going into their rivalry series, where seemingly anything could (and does) happen.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>For today&#8217;s game, the Dodgers send <strong>Clayton Kershaw</strong> to the mound against <strong>Jeff Francis</strong>, so it&#8217;s no surprise that they&#8217;re -290 betting favorites to win (74.4%), and <strong>AccuScore</strong> has the Dodgers winning at a 63% clip. The Cardinals sent <strong>Adam Wainwright</strong> to the hill against <strong>Edwin Jackson</strong> and are -135 betting favorites to win (57.4%), and AccuScore has their chances of prevailing at 56%.</p>
<p>While I still don&#8217;t believe the Dodgers should be risking the health of Kershaw and others for what amounts to a long shot, if nothing else the team has managed to make the end of this season exciting, for better or worse.</p>
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