Chad Moriyama Dodgers, Sabermetrics, Scouting
Dominican Summer League Dodgers: Pitchers
Dominican Summer League Dodgers: Hitters
Arizona League Dodgers: Pitchers
Arizona League Dodgers: Hitters
Ogden Raptors: Pitchers
Ogden Raptors: Hitters
Great Lakes Loons: Pitchers
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Today I continue my off-season recap of the Los Angeles Dodgers minor league affiliates, moving on to the hitters of the Great Lakes Loons.
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I’ll be picking the prospects for the 2012 Prospective Prospect Profiles list from these reviews, so it might be worth reading. Or not.
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Jonathan Garcia – OF – 19
Disappointed doesn’t begin to describe his year, as the final line looks terrible (.228/.290/.420/.710), but he started off on fire (.274/.326/.619/.945 In April), which gave hope for a breakout season.
I’m not completely down on him though, as he was 19 in the Midwest League and still popped 19 homers. Additionally, he had a .274 BABIP compared to a league average BABIP of .306. Of course, normalizing that wouldn’t excuse his performance, and the main problems are that his K% (25.9) and BB% (6.6) continue to be well below average.
He’ll either repeat low-A in 2012 or the Dodgers might even “promote” him to high-A in order to get him into a better hitting environment.
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Chris Jacobs – 1B -22
Due to his light tower power and potential, I was a Jacobs apologist until 2010, when he seemingly regressed against better competition and struggled to get playing time. Well, he struggled to stay healthy in 2011, but when he did play, he took a gigantic leap forward.
Jacobs posted a .288/.393/.521/.914 line with a reasonable strikeout rate and a well above average walk rate, thus baiting me into being a believer again.
I’m curious to see how his swing plays against advanced arms, and I think he would be best served being moved to high-A in 2012. If he proves that his 2011 outburst wasn’t a fluke, I think he can be moved quickly to AA to be tested.
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Leon Landry – OF – 21
If it wasn’t for the complete lack of bats at this level, I might have ignored him completely, because a .250/.307/.360/.667 line simply isn’t very good.
More than the numbers though, I haven’t seen him display a single tool that makes me want to believe, and he reminds me of Xavier Paul or Jamie Hoffmann in that he does a lot of things okay, but his ceiling appears to be as a reserve.
He’ll need to repeat A-ball in 2012 and show improvement.
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Michael Pericht – C – 23
As a 23-year-old in A-ball, he put up a .273/.351/.445/.795 line, which is acceptable for a catcher, but not acceptable for his age. Beyond that, my main concern is that he strikes out a ton (26.4 K%), but has a below average walk rate (7.2 BB%).
Yes, the system is catcher starved. Yes, he has power. However, he’ll need to get better in a hurry to remain even a blip on the radar, in my opinion.
Weren’t they pumping Landry as a potential 5-tool player? Sucks that he’s not excelling at even one. Hopefully he can step it up.
I sure hope they weren’t.
I should clean that up a bit…by “they” I meant the draft analysts when he was picked, not the Dodgers. Coulda sworn they said 5-tool or maybe it was 4-tool…it’s been a while and my brain doesn’t hold info very well anymore.
Potentially five tools that are average, yeah. Generally when you talk about five tool players, you’re talking about guys with the potential to be Matt Kemp though.
I thought his defense and baserunning were really good, no?
There are five tools for a five tool player though.
“I haven’t seen him display a single tool that makes me want to believe”
“he does a lot of things okay”
Right, none of it makes me want to believe in him.
You say he has no skills.
I ask about his supposedly good defense and baserunning.
You bring up child math 2 no = 5
I quote you to show that my comment referred not to Leon Landry having 5 tools, but to you saying he had none.
You respond saying “none of it makes you want to believe in him”.
I still don’t know what to think of his defense, and base running. I write passive aggressive recount of comment exchange to express dissatisfaction.
No, I just said that none of it makes him a major league regular or maybe even a contributor.
Hm…ya know you never did say that Leon Landry had no tools, just that he has not displayed any of them in a way that makes you want to believe.
Perhaps a simple way for a commenter like myself to obtain info from all this displaying, wanting, and believing would be for you to just talk about what you actually see see defensively. You already do that sort of thing with prospect profiles, but it hurts not to do it again even briefly. It’s when you are at your best.
Not sure he will make my prospect profiles. :o
He is competent defensively, but like I said, I don’t see plus defense in the vein of Tony Gwynn Jr. where he can make a roster on the virtue of being able to play three outfield positions effectively.
God damn that’s some depressing shit.
1. What is Sanchez’s absolute ceiling? A #2 starter? Sounds like it from what I can tell, but i wanted to ask. And I know that it’s hard to put labels like that on really young players.
2. Same with Gould, because at minorleagueball.com the locals seem to be down on him, having him as a #4/5 at best, etc. Seems to me like Gould has a few Beuhrle-esque ways of overperforming, like his delivery. Seemed to me like he was a solid MOR guy.
3. Rodriguez is a reliever, right?
4. I’ve never really understood the Lee-as-an-ace angle. Where exactly does that come from?
1. Absolute? #2/#3 type, yeah. Not close to it right now though.
2. There’s no way his ceiling is as a #5 type. Ceiling is like #3, IMO. If they are projecting the most likely outcome, then yeah, back of the rotation is more than fair, as the most likely outcome is that he never makes it, as it is with most prospects.
3. Absolutely, yes.
4. Projection. If he starts to throw harder and fill out, then I can believe it. As I said though, as of right now, he doesn’t look like he has #1 stuff at all. If he actually begins to sit mid-90s, then we can talk, I think.
I’ve always seen Lee as having Billingsley’s upside if you were to downgrade his curve.
Yeah, people forget how good of a prospect Billingsley was.
He’s below him as of right now, IMO, but I think with experience, there’s a chance for him to grow into that #1/#2 hybrid or a #2.
I Be Sad :(
http://blog.seattletimes.nwsource.com/mariners/hongchich.jpg
Inevitable. :o