Chattanooga Lookouts 2011 Season Review: Hitters

Dominican Summer League Dodgers: Pitchers
Dominican Summer League Dodgers: Hitters
Arizona League Dodgers: Pitchers
Arizona League Dodgers: Hitters
Ogden Raptors: Pitchers
Ogden Raptors: Hitters
Great Lakes Loons: Pitchers
Great Lakes Loons: Hitters
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes: Pitchers
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes: Hitters
Chattanooga Lookouts: Pitchers

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Today I continue my off-season recap of the Los Angeles Dodgers minor league affiliates, moving on to the hitters of the Chattanooga Lookouts.

I’ll be picking the prospects for the 2012 Prospective Prospect Profiles list from these reviews, so it might be worth reading. Or not.

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Scott Van Slyke – LF/1B – 24

Scott Van Slyke Statistics

Van Slyke absolutely lit up AA, posting a .348/.427/.595/1.022 line while somehow striking out at the league average rate (18.7%). Granted, the batting average was primarily powered by a .405 BABIP, which is utterly unsustainable, but his secondary skills were enough to make his season a successful one regardless, including a 12.3% walk rate.

Unfortunately, there’s a reason skepticism exists, and I don’t think any of it will evaporate unless he starts hitting major league pitching. He’s not a good defender and he’s limited to first base, so he’ll have to mash, and there are legitimate questions as to whether his contact rate and plate discipline can hold up against major league pitching because of concerns about his long swing.

There’s no reason not to expect him to put up monster numbers at AAA, and he’s not getting any younger, so whether he actually even gets a shot in the majors on a full-time basis is dubious.

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Alfredo Silverio – OF – 24

Alfredo Silverio Statistics

Silverio continued his coming out tour by posting a .304/.339/.534/.873 line in AA. His strikeout rate was actually below average, but his walk rate was almost half of the league average, which basically spells out my concerns with him.

Even before last year, I recognized that he did have tools, but he never had put it together into a productive season. However, when he did, I was admittedly still skeptical because he didn’t do a lot of things that I believe are required to be a productive regular. He’ll likely be limited to a corner outfield role, so he’ll have to be productive with the bat, and I haven’t seen a ton to indicate that he’ll be able to learn the plate discipline necessary to be a solid contributor there. Keep in mind that despite his breakout, he’s not young, so while he’s certainly on the upswing, I don’t understand the current hype about him besides the fact that he’s the rare hitting prospect in the Dodgers system.

Like with most at AAA, he should have a monster season there because of the altitude, but like with Van Slyke, the real indicator will be how he hits at the major league level, if he ever gets the chance to prove it.

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Kyle Russell – RF – 25

Kyle Russell Statistics

Most impressive part about his season at AA? He didn’t strike out 200 times. Far from it in fact, as he actually managed to keep the swings and misses about the same as 2010. The problem? It was still 32.4% of the time, which is atrocious. Furthermore, he no longer put up the monster lines that could possibly excuse it, posting a solid but not spectacular .258/.340/.497/.837.

If only he could make contact, he would be a hell of a right field prospect, as he has all the tools for the position. Unfortunately, I cringe to think what his strikeout rate might be in the majors, and he’s already 25.

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Brian Cavazos Galvez – 1B/LF – 24

Brian Cavazos Galvez Statistics

24, limited to left field or first base, and putting up a .277/.311/.470/.781 in AA does not a prospect make. While his 14.3 K% shows the ability to make contact, his 2.7 BB% shows a complete disregard for walks.

Despite some that may like him or still find him relevant, he’s made me go from skeptical to ignore worthy with his 2011.

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Alex Castellanos – RF/2B – 24

Alex Castellanos Statistics

Coming over in a trade with the St. Louis Cardinals for Rafael Furcal, Castellanos put up monster numbers at AA between both systems, clocking in at .322/.388/.576/.964. He struck out at an above average rate of 22.0%, but his power justifies it.

My primary concern is with his walk rate, which checks in at a below average 7.3%, and that just backs up what you see in his aggressive approach and swing-happy tendencies. It’s hard to blame him since he does have a nice fluid stroke, but you’d like to see better out of an older prospect. I don’t think that quality plays if he’s stuck in a corner outfield position, but with his power, I think he can get by if he can play a competent second base.

Castellanos is not young, so he should be pressed into big league action when a position opens up in 2012.

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Jaime Pedroza – 2B – 24

Jaime Pedroza Statistics

Between high-A and AA, he posted a .260/.366/.424/.790 line, boasting good plate discipline, good pop, and contact woes. Given that he’s a solid defender at second base, he would seem like an ideal prospect for the position. However, his hit tool lags and it’ll likely end up costing him any major league ambitions in the end.

The bottom line is that swing path is still more suited for a power hitter, and it leads to his bat not staying in the zone for long. Maybe there’s a utility infield spot for him in the future, but that’s it.

About Chad Moriyama

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